Did you want to know the playoff picture as we enter week 11? Forget
it buddy, below is a simple example of why we will not attempt to
outline playoff possibilities until week 11 is over.
Of the 24 teams none are mathematically eliminated, and only two would require extreme miracles to qualify, Kavanators and Frost.
The Kavanators have a 3-8 record in the Nebula-Orion Division and are in last place there. The record is irrelevant at this point because a 5-8 record could only qualify as a blackjack. The problem is there are only two playoff spots remaining in the division, and two of those could still finish with a 7-6 winning record, eliminating the blackjack. Also, the Nators are 166 points fielded behind the Venom, 151 behind the Crush, and 22 behind the Texas Stars. What those number mean is the Nators need a miracle, something like scoring 240 each week while the Crush or Venom scored around 100 each week, not likely.
It is possible these four teams could all finish with 5-8 records, but Kav could not earn the second wildcard via tiebreakers because Tiebreaker 1 (Division records)-Orange Crush would be 5-5, eliminating Kav at 4-6. If that happened we would then have a three way tie to decide, returning to step one of the three team tiebreaker system, we would use tiebreaker 2, because all three would have a 5-5 division record (tiebreaker 1). In that case, Orange Crush would eliminate Wallie's Texas stars based on head to head sweep. We still have two teams tied (Orange Crush and WV Venom) for the second wildcard, meaning it must be broken using the two team tiebreaker procedure. Step 4 of the two team tiebreaker would be required as we have already determined steps 1 through 3 are a tie between these two. Step 4 is most points fielded on the season (ironic because blackjack would have solved this), meaning West Virginia would own the second wildcard (based on points fielded as of today, which is only 15 points apart). Now, if that doesn't confuse you, lets go on.
We now have three playoff teams qualified in this division, 1. Brady Bunch, 2. Coalition, 3. West Virginia. That means we still need the third wildcard to get a fourth playoff team (remember, 1 division winner and three wildcards per division). That will be blackjack because none of the remaining teams have a .500 or better record. Blackjack is simple, the team with most points fielded on season (all teams not yet qualified are compared, in this case it is Crush, Kav, Stars) , therefore the final playoff team in the Orion division would be the Orange Crush (based on today's points fielded standings which is 129 more than Wallie's and 151 more than Kav).
Now, if you think that is confusing, the Appalachian Division in the Vintage Conference is a nightmare, and to be honest, all divisions in either Conference are a total nightmare to try and figure out at this point, so we won't. We will try before week 12!
This weeks games:
AT
A must win for the Runners as Blackjack is out of the question for them. Crownholder trying to win the division. The Runners struggle to score 130 each week and this one is no different.
Crownholder 165 Runners 129
AT 
Like I said, complicated, but I think this is a near must win for Igama and a very very important one for both teams.
Igama 176 Viall 172
AT 
What else needs to be said? These teams are both at 5-6, both need a win. Fields needs a win more than Perdew because he likely would not qualify via blackjack. Must win for Fields.
Perdew 154 Fields 143
AT 
Win for either team is not important, what is important for Whitmore is a solid point output to keep his blackjack hopes alive. The Bruisers clinched a playoff spot (I think) with a miracle win last week.
Whitmore 165 Texan 155
AT 
This game is almost a non meaningful one, Pardue needs a win to keep division crown chances alive, Frost needs a shit load of points to get in the blackjack race.
Frost 145 Pardue 132
AT 
Ok, I'm confused. Temp needs to do almost nothing to get a blackjack, 100 points or so. Zima is all but guranteed a playoff spot either wildcard or blackjack.
Temp 156 Zima 149
AT 
Points, points, points, these teams both need points. McKevitt is in the hunt for a blackjack, Klim is right there too.
Klim 156 McKevitt 124
AT 
Flish needs a win and or points, both would help complicate things wouldn't it? The Brownskins have been laid back since week 6.
Miami 201 Flish 187
AT 
Money team can clinch a playoff birth with a win, Dlugiewicz is in.
Money Team 257 Dlugiewicz 123
AT 
Wallies need a win and points, real bad like! Brady Bunch has all but clinched division.
Brady 165 Stars 143
AT 
Meaningless, almost. Coalition is in, Kav is so far out they need a mineshaft to reach them.
Kav 156 Coalition 136
AT 
See the article at the top of this page! Venom was voted leagues coolest logo in 2012, if it matters.
Venom 159 Crush 139
Of the 24 teams none are mathematically eliminated, and only two would require extreme miracles to qualify, Kavanators and Frost.
The Kavanators have a 3-8 record in the Nebula-Orion Division and are in last place there. The record is irrelevant at this point because a 5-8 record could only qualify as a blackjack. The problem is there are only two playoff spots remaining in the division, and two of those could still finish with a 7-6 winning record, eliminating the blackjack. Also, the Nators are 166 points fielded behind the Venom, 151 behind the Crush, and 22 behind the Texas Stars. What those number mean is the Nators need a miracle, something like scoring 240 each week while the Crush or Venom scored around 100 each week, not likely.
It is possible these four teams could all finish with 5-8 records, but Kav could not earn the second wildcard via tiebreakers because Tiebreaker 1 (Division records)-Orange Crush would be 5-5, eliminating Kav at 4-6. If that happened we would then have a three way tie to decide, returning to step one of the three team tiebreaker system, we would use tiebreaker 2, because all three would have a 5-5 division record (tiebreaker 1). In that case, Orange Crush would eliminate Wallie's Texas stars based on head to head sweep. We still have two teams tied (Orange Crush and WV Venom) for the second wildcard, meaning it must be broken using the two team tiebreaker procedure. Step 4 of the two team tiebreaker would be required as we have already determined steps 1 through 3 are a tie between these two. Step 4 is most points fielded on the season (ironic because blackjack would have solved this), meaning West Virginia would own the second wildcard (based on points fielded as of today, which is only 15 points apart). Now, if that doesn't confuse you, lets go on.
We now have three playoff teams qualified in this division, 1. Brady Bunch, 2. Coalition, 3. West Virginia. That means we still need the third wildcard to get a fourth playoff team (remember, 1 division winner and three wildcards per division). That will be blackjack because none of the remaining teams have a .500 or better record. Blackjack is simple, the team with most points fielded on season (all teams not yet qualified are compared, in this case it is Crush, Kav, Stars) , therefore the final playoff team in the Orion division would be the Orange Crush (based on today's points fielded standings which is 129 more than Wallie's and 151 more than Kav).
Now, if you think that is confusing, the Appalachian Division in the Vintage Conference is a nightmare, and to be honest, all divisions in either Conference are a total nightmare to try and figure out at this point, so we won't. We will try before week 12!
This weeks games:
ATA must win for the Runners as Blackjack is out of the question for them. Crownholder trying to win the division. The Runners struggle to score 130 each week and this one is no different.
Crownholder 165 Runners 129
AT Like I said, complicated, but I think this is a near must win for Igama and a very very important one for both teams.
Igama 176 Viall 172
AT What else needs to be said? These teams are both at 5-6, both need a win. Fields needs a win more than Perdew because he likely would not qualify via blackjack. Must win for Fields.
Perdew 154 Fields 143
AT Win for either team is not important, what is important for Whitmore is a solid point output to keep his blackjack hopes alive. The Bruisers clinched a playoff spot (I think) with a miracle win last week.
Whitmore 165 Texan 155
AT This game is almost a non meaningful one, Pardue needs a win to keep division crown chances alive, Frost needs a shit load of points to get in the blackjack race.
Frost 145 Pardue 132
AT Ok, I'm confused. Temp needs to do almost nothing to get a blackjack, 100 points or so. Zima is all but guranteed a playoff spot either wildcard or blackjack.
Temp 156 Zima 149
AT Points, points, points, these teams both need points. McKevitt is in the hunt for a blackjack, Klim is right there too.
Klim 156 McKevitt 124
AT Flish needs a win and or points, both would help complicate things wouldn't it? The Brownskins have been laid back since week 6.
Miami 201 Flish 187
AT Money team can clinch a playoff birth with a win, Dlugiewicz is in.
Money Team 257 Dlugiewicz 123
AT Wallies need a win and points, real bad like! Brady Bunch has all but clinched division.
Brady 165 Stars 143
AT Meaningless, almost. Coalition is in, Kav is so far out they need a mineshaft to reach them.
Kav 156 Coalition 136
AT See the article at the top of this page! Venom was voted leagues coolest logo in 2012, if it matters.
Venom 159 Crush 139
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