Tuesday, October 20, 2009

What If, Realy....

We all love the eSFL for many reasons. One great thing about the eSFL is you never know what to expect from week to week. The league and it's games are dependent upon the NFL and it's players. I wanted to sit down and research whether the eSFL's best teams this year would be the best teams this year if they had played the schedule that the worst teams have played. Now in a real league you can't do this because every game is dependent upon the opponent, therefore a result cannot be expected just because of how many points a team put up one week, it is dependent upon the team they played. But in the eSFL this can be done because each team would score the exact same regardless who their opponent was for that week. The opponent has no barring upon each others score. This is in no way of picking on any team, such as Whitmore. he is used as the example simply because he has the best record in the league. With that said, I did the research and this is what I found:

Whitmore is currently 5-1. If he had the same schedule as the Balut  who is at 0-6, he would be 3-3. because:
Week 1-Pardue 180.66  Whitmore 138.64
Week 2-Crownholders  189.74   Whitmore 145.12
Week 3-Whitmore  158.96  Temp 149.32  
Week 4-Whitmore  145.52    Zima  138.12
Week 5-Whitmore  200.86   Frost  136.34  
Week 6- Texan 176.38 Whitmore 119.68

Whitmore is currently 5-1. If he had the same schedule as the Pulverizers  who is at 2-4, he would be 3-3 because:
Week 1-Kav 157.48  Whitmore 138.64
Week 2-Whitmore 145.12   Big D 140.84
Week 3- Whitmore 158.96  Perdew 145.78
Week 4-Fields 145.86  Whitmore  145.52
Week 5-Whitmore  200.86  Texan 167.44
Week 6-Temp 160.76  Whitmore 119.68

Whitmore is currently 5-1. If he had the same schedule as the Ruskies who is at 2-4, he would be 3-3 because:


Week 1-Frost 185.42  Whitmore 138.64
Week 2-Pardue 193.8   Whitmore 145.12
Week 3- Whitmore  158.96   Crownholders 77.28  
Week 4-Whitmore  145.52   Boot Hill 135.36
Week 5-Whitmore  200.86    Temp 135.34
Week 6-Big D 166.92   Whitmore 119.68


Whitmore is currently 5-1. If he had the same schedule as the Kavanators who is at 2-4, he would be 3-3  because:
Week 1-Perdew 156.88   Whitmore 138.64
Week 2-Texan 157.38   Whitmore 145.12
Week 3-Whitmore  158.96  Fields 147.08
Week 4-Whitmore  145.52   Big D 143.76
Week 5-Whitmore  200.86    Kav 130.88
Week 6-Frost 162.76  Whitmore 119.68

Therefore, we could come to the conclusion that Whitmore is certainly better than the Balut at 0-6 because he would be 3-3.
We could , come to the conclusion that Whitmore is certainly better than the Pulverizers at 2-4 because he would be 3-3.
We could , come to the conclusion that Whitmore is certainly better than the Ruskies at 2-4 because he would be 3-3.
We could , come to the conclusion that Whitmore is certainly better than the Kavanators at 2-4 because he would be 3-3.
However, we could also come to the conclusion that he isn't as good as his 5-1 record may appear. What if we were to bounce his results against every team in the league in this way? I don't know, but you can do it. My guess he he would be 3-3 in almost every schedule scenario you put him in. The league site has a what if scenerio based on this. But this basis his record only on scores each week, not a certain schedule. In these rankings he is fifth versus everyone each week at 38-28. In the weekly average score scenerio he drops to ninth at 2-4, and in the season average scenario he drops to ninth at 2-4.  If the league used a total points system he would be in third place in the Appalachian Division, and ranked fifth overall.
The whole basis of this article is that on any given week, regardless of how well your team plays, you have a chance to win. It has been that way in the eSFl since it's inception, and every other fantasy football league in the world that uses a head to head schedule. So, continue to enjoy the excitement of the league, and good luck on your quest to the Ballistic Bowl

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