Thursday, August 29, 2013

Nebula Conference Draft Grades-2013


BAKKEN OILERS


Overview:
Your receivers are the strongest part of this team. While no team can be expected to be above average at all three core positions (QB/RB/WR), you are in the precarious position of being a bit weak at two of them.
Although you should not be counted out yet, you may need to be active on both the waiver wire and in trades to turn this team into a legitimate contender. The best way to achieve that might be to sacrifice some of your wide receiver strength to gain multiple players than can help your roster now. It's generally easier finding quarterbacks and wide receivers on the waiver wire than quality running backs.
Keep an eye out for quarterbacks like Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck from last year, Cam Newton the year before, Michael Vick and Josh Freeman in 2010, and Matt Cassel and Kurt Warner in 2008. All were available cheap in August, and all contributed to fantasy championship teams. Likewise, running backs like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard all could be had dirt cheap at the draft or shortly after. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Danny Amendola, Kenny Britt, and Victor Cruz. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 48 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: D+
No running backs, Amendola is always hurt. The only reason this team didn't grade out as an F- is because of Kenny Britt. If Britt can get on the field and stay, he is a monster.


ORANGE CRUSH


Overview:
In a competitive league, almost every team has a weakness. It's almost impossible to build a team that is strong at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and wide receiver). As you probably suspect, we perceive your weakness to be at the quarterback position. Of all the deficiencies to have though, this is usually the easiest one to mask.
Footballguys owner David Dodds even recommends you go into your draft with the goal of landing the top RBs and WRs while waiting to grab QBs late. Value-Based Drafting principles also suggest that teams constructed in this manner end up being strong. But for this team to reach it's full potential, you might need to have a quick trigger finger at the QB position and stay on the look out for good quarterback help. Last year Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck could be had very cheap in August and September, but ended up contributing to a lot of fantasy championships. In 2011 it was Cam Newton; in 2010 it was Michael Vick and Josh Freeman; in 2008, the same could be said of players like Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner, and Matt Cassel. Quarterbacks like these can be found every year, and that could be the key to your team's success.
So although this team isn't perfect (few are), it should still be a strong contender.
Players we particularly like on this team include Trent Richardson and Vincent Jackson. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.

Commissioner Grade: C+
Last years Nebula Conference champion follows up with a strong draft. Draft scored a 84 of a possible 107 using the Commissioner Index grading system (which is top secret I might add). A.J. Green, Vincent Jackson, and despite the professional opinion above, I like Wilson as a top 10 quarterback.


Bob Templin's HOUSTON RAMS



Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like James Jones and Cecil Shorts were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 31 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: D
Well, it looks as though the Rams ownership had his draft layed out round by round. Let me see, Brees 1, Chris Johnson will be there at 2, McFadden at 3, etc.. They were there for a reason however, besides from Brees I see nothing on this team that equals 4 wins. I do think C. Johnson will be better than the last 2 seasons, but McFadden will be lucky to play 6 games on a bad team. Tavon Austin should be set aside as a RFA for next year, with the quarterback in St. Louis I wouldn't play one Ram on my offense (and may I add I have won like 26 percent of my games the past 4 years).



FLISHS CRAZY DAISY's



Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like James Jones and Cecil Shorts were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 40 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 14 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: C-
Remember Wes Welker at Miami, I didn't think so. Yes, Manning at quarterback could make Daisy's owner Ms. Flish look like a top 15 wideout, but there are a lot of weapons in Denver. And what is this Perdew love for D. Bowe anyway? Thats all either of the Perdew owners talk about. I had him last year, see where it got me, and I know what I am doing. Other than QB, junk team.



Kav's Kavanators


Seriously? 
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 24 percent chance of making the playoffs.

Commissioner Grade: B
OK, I like it.



BRADY bUNCH



Overview:
Congratulations! You seem to have grabbed quality players at every turn of this draft. It's rare indeed to be better than the average team at the three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver), but we think this team is. And it's above average at the supporting positions as well.
You must be among the favorites in this league and have positioned yourself to grab one of the playoff spots. But before you start engraving the trophy, realize that the draft is not the end of the story. Things can and do go wrong, so you need to remain diligent throughout the year to ensure you remain strong until the playoffs.
Players we particularly like on this team include Vincent Brown, Shane Vereen, Sam Bradford, Jermichael Finley, and DeMarco Murray. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 88 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: A+

10 win season is not out of the question. Solid at all positions drafted!




Wallie's Texas Stars


Overview:
We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back. The receiver corps is a concern though.
The good news is that, of all of the weaknesses to have, this one is usually the most survivable. At receiver, it's often relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season.
Last year wide receivers like James Jones and Cecil Shorts went undrafted. But these guys likely helped the fantasy teams that landed them in 2012. Stay atop the news and watch the target report to find the break out players weeks before the rest of the world wants them and you'll be in the mix.
Players we particularly like on this team include Colin Kaepernick and Mark Ingram. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 31 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: C
Playoff team, but 2-A-Days are vital to contend with Brady Bunch.




LEGENDARY HUMANOID




Overview:
You've put together a very interesting team here. Our numbers show it as being below average at all three core positions (QB, RB, and WR). And yet, somehow, we don't hate it. With proper care and feeding throughout the season, this team should be above average.
But your margin for error is probably slimmer than that of your fellow contenders. You're going to have to be diligent in your search for help through trades and the waiver wire.
Players we particularly like on this team include Matt Forte, Jason Witten, and Joique Bell. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 85 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 63 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: C
When Legendary Humanoid enters the battlefield all opponents must tap their non-basic strategies and place a -1 counter in their loss column.

Anyway...........

Dlugiewicz Fit'n pollacks



Overview:
We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback, receiver, and tight end. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be at running back.
This is often a tough weakness to mask, though, so you must be prepared to be very active in waivers and trades to change the composition of this team. Most drafts go very deep at the RB position and that usually means there are just table scraps left for those weak at the position.
But the good news is that running backs do emerge every year post-draft. Last year guys like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard could be had dirt cheap at the draft. In fact most likely were not rostered before the season started. Yet all of these players could have taken a weakness and made it into a strength for their prospective owners. This is the move you are going to need to make this year to take this team to a clear contender.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 43 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: C
Quarterback equals 5 wins. If Gronk plays at his top level this team is a certain contender. Running backs will be the deciding factor of course.




Miami Brownskins



Overview:
A bit odd to name your team after the Browns and then not take any of them. But we're sure you have your reasons. On to the analysis...
We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back, and tight end is a plus for this team as well. Your squad is therefore easy for us to like despite a bit of weakness at the receiver position. But as weaknesses go, this is one is survivable. It's usually relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season. As long as you stay on top of things inseason, you should be among the top teams in the league.
Players we particularly like on this team include Ray Rice, Joe Flacco, and Daryl Richardson. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 85 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 74 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: B
Second best team in the division. Running back could be an issue with Jackson as a 2. Wide receivers could be an issue.





snoop's whiz kings


Overview:
We think you're looking good at quarterback and running back. The receiver corps is a concern though.
The good news is that, of all of the weaknesses to have, this one is usually the most survivable. At receiver, it's often relatively easy to find fill-in guys on a weekly basis until a better player emerges during the season.
Last year wide receivers like James Jones and Cecil Shorts went undrafted. But these guys likely helped the fantasy teams that landed them in 2012. Stay atop the news and watch the target report to find the break out players weeks before the rest of the world wants them and you'll be in the mix.
Players we particularly like on this team include LeSean McCoy, Reggie Bush, and Greg Jennings. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 56 percent chance of making the playoffs.

Commissioner Grade: B



money team


Overview:
In a competitive league, almost every team has a weakness. It's almost impossible to build a team that is strong at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and wide receiver). As you probably suspect, we perceive your weakness to be at the quarterback position. Of all the deficiencies to have though, this is usually the easiest one to mask.
Footballguys owner David Dodds even recommends you go into your draft with the goal of landing the top RBs and WRs while waiting to grab QBs late. Value-Based Drafting principles also suggest that teams constructed in this manner end up being strong. But for this team to reach it's full potential, you might need to have a quick trigger finger at the QB position and stay on the look out for good quarterback help. Last year Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck could be had very cheap in August and September, but ended up contributing to a lot of fantasy championships. In 2011 it was Cam Newton; in 2010 it was Michael Vick and Josh Freeman; in 2008, the same could be said of players like Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner, and Matt Cassel. Quarterbacks like these can be found every year, and that could be the key to your team's success.
So although this team isn't perfect (few are), it should still be a strong contender.
Players we particularly like on this team include Demaryius Thomas, Darren Sproles, and Justin Blackmon. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 72 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: B



Mckevitt meatstyx



Commissioner Grade: C-
Best draft in computer draft history. Logo looks like shit.




Klimko k's




Overview:
Your receivers are the strongest part of this team. While no team can be expected to be above average at all three core positions (QB/RB/WR), you are in the precarious position of being a bit weak at two of them.
Although you should not be counted out yet, you may need to be active on both the waiver wire and in trades to turn this team into a legitimate contender. The best way to achieve that might be to sacrifice some of your wide receiver strength to gain multiple players than can help your roster now. It's generally easier finding quarterbacks and wide receivers on the waiver wire than quality running backs.
Keep an eye out for quarterbacks like Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck from last year, Cam Newton the year before, Michael Vick and Josh Freeman in 2010, and Matt Cassel and Kurt Warner in 2008. All were available cheap in August, and all contributed to fantasy championship teams. Likewise, running backs like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard all could be had dirt cheap at the draft or shortly after. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Bottom line:
  • With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With good inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  • With average inseason management, we think you have a 57 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Commissioner Grade: C-
Not bad, maybe if you added up the number of days these players have been on the injury list you will get enough points to win a game.

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